Showing posts with label cars. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cars. Show all posts

Sunday, 21 April 2013

Aussie dollar poison

Poor South Australia.  Last year it lost the Olympic Dam megaproject and now the Economist points out that Holden (the local GM subsidiary) is looking to cut jobs in the state.  Not only that, the magazine lists whole industries which are being struck off as uncompetitive thanks to the record high Aussie dollar:


....Holden, a subsidiary of General Motors and one of Australia’s biggest carmakers, cut 500 jobs, most of them in Adelaide, the state capital. The job cuts and Australia’s trade boom with China have a common thread: Australia’s mighty dollar. Chinese trade not only helped Australia survive the global downturn. It has also boosted the currency’s strength, and made it harder for manufacturers to find markets for their exports. The problem is unevenly distributed around the country. South Australia has suffered the greatest pain: in no other state does manufacturing account for such a big share of the economy....
.....Australia’s dollar recently soared to its highest level in nearly 28 years, on a trade-weighted basis.... The currency’s rise [has] meant that making things in Australia is almost three-fifths dearer than it was ten years ago. It has overwhelmed successive governments’ efforts to steady the carmakers with subsidies. Five years ago, Mitsubishi closed its plant in Adelaide. Australia’s remaining carmakers, Holden, Ford and Toyota, have shed jobs steadily since then. Australians are buying imported cars more cheaply than ever, especially from Japan; their dollar has risen by 26% against the yen since October (here).


As the article notes Julia Gillard is pressing onwards and upwards in engaging with China.  Her own constituents may wish for more efforts directed at home.

Monday, 15 April 2013

The law of unintended consequences...

Wikipedia defines the law, popularised by American sociologist Merton as follows:
that an intervention in a complex system tends to create unanticipated and often undesirable outcomes..(here)
This is being seen in Australia.  Deutsche Bank's efforts to assist Sri Lankans affected by the 2004 Tsunami have resulted in firm-branded boats entering Australian waters carrying the 'Lankans seeking refugee status (only for the boat and occupants to be detained upon reaching Australia) (here).  Similarly and more expectedly, the boom in commodities and in particular the labour costs for Ozzie workers and new infrastructure costs are crippling big Ozzie projects, including the offshore Browse LNG field:

....Yet mothballing four years of work implies Australia has become too expensive a destination for big greenfield development. The industry will be watching what happens next with interest because many of the biggest projects are almost as costly. ...Analysts previously estimated that floating LNG could take $9bn off the $40bn-plus cost of Browse. Nice.. (here)

Unprofitable projects means asset sales:


...THE list of assets Rio Tinto is seeking to sell keeps getting longer. So does the list of banks getting a slice of Rio Tinto's business....Investment banks ranging from the best-known names on Wall Street to small Australian boutiques are on the roster as Rio Tinto, under new leadership, embarks on a program to sell off assets. (here).
and declining industries:
...Contraction of the industry has been blamed on the strength of the Australian dollar and fierce competition from overseas rivals who enjoy lower costs on wages, power and raw materials. Some manufacturers have called for industry to get access to cheap gas by government decree, but large resources companies such as Santos and BHP have fought such a market intervention....Mr Nasser said as recently as two years ago he was confident the car industry could survive in Australia, but had become more pessimistic since then. (here)