Thursday 16 May 2013

CBA makes hay while the sun shines

A good set of results out for the Commonwealth Bank of Australia, now thanks to favourable encouragement from the regulator and the lopsided economy, one of the largest banks in the world:

In an unaudited trading update Wednesday, Commonwealth Bank reported net profit of 1.90 billion Australian dollars (US$1.88 billion) in the three months to Mar. 31, up from A$1.70 billion a year earlier. The lender is Australia's largest by market value. 
Cash profit, which smoothes out one-off items, was also A$1.90 billion, compared with A$1.75 billion a year earlier and A$1.85 billion in the immediately preceding quarter....
...Their shares have been among the best-performing on the Australian stock exchange as investors have flocked to their high-yielding stocks. Commonwealth Bank and Westpac topped the A$100 billion value mark this month, at one point making each worth more than the Australian listing of the world's largest mining company, BHP Billiton (BHP).(here)
But note some words of gloom looking forward for the sector:

But behind the headline results, Australia's banks are struggling to keep growing profit amid slowing economic growth. Together, the revenue of the big four banks was largely flat from a year ago, while much of the profit improvement came from cost cutting and a reduction in combined bad debt, which fell 17% from the previous half.
Credit Suisse analyst James Ellis said the lender's result was "supported by a cyclically-low bad debt charge" and pointed to worse times ahead for Australia's banks.
"For the sector the result suggests that the optimisation of bank earnings is reaching its limit, with bad debt charges as feasibly low as they can get, margin expansion and the pace of productivity improvements fading," he said in a note to clients.

The article also mentions declining business confidence, capital levels and the end of the mining boom as factors at play.


Meanwhile a new Occupy-style movement is reported to be stirring in the UK (http://breakupthebanks.org.uk/).  When things start to go wrong will there be significant protests in Oz against the banks? 


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